So. . .Lame Duck President Biden has finally decided to allow the Ukrainians to strike back at their Russian and North Korean invaders with US supplied Army Tactical Missile Systems (ATACMS)  - in the Kursk region. Other regions of Russia remain sacrosanct, so it can continue to launch glide bombs at Ukrainian day-care centres with complete impunity. 

This has outraged the usual suspects. The Kremlin is Krying foul, as it always does when its victims fight back.  Elon Muskovite, Marjorie Traitor Green, and the rest of Putin's puppets in America are all wetting their beds, as they always do when their masters are inconvenienced. And the lily-livered left are bitching about the military industrial complex, as they always do when their prayer beads fail to stop dictators. All claim this (as opposed to Russia's invasion in the first place) will lead to World War Three. All are being disingenuous: Russia, because disingenuousness in bred into it's DNA, the Right because they want Russia to win, and the Left because they always hate to see Western weapons used, even when they intercept glide bombs headed for maternity wards. Even ostensibly sympathetic commentators, such as Owen Jones and Cenk Uygur, don't want to see Ukraine defend itself too vigorously. 

Thing is, Russia's been threatening WWIII from the very beginning. It has threatened to unleash the nukes every time so much as a bottle of foreign made athlete's foot powder has landed in Ukraine, and has opted not to do so Every Single time, possibly because it actually doesn't want to be turned into soup.

Nor is it in any position to send in its tanks or jets, as all of them are needed in Ukraine at the moment. Fact is, Russian conventional forces wouldn't last a minute against NATO, and Moscow knows it. Yet, NATO continuously falls for its bluffs, even after unwittingly calling them.  And considering the Ukrainians are already in it up the neck, the threat of "escalation" or "retaliation" seems laughable indeed.  

I say "hurrah!" ATACM strikes might hurt the invaders a bit more. They might enable Ukraine to keep some thimble-full of Russian land to bargain with when Trump forces them to surrender. They might intercept a handful of glide-bombs. Will they change the course of the war? This utterly amateur arm-chair observer thinks not.   

At this stage in the game, it all strikes me as a bit like lending someone a fire-extinguisher after their house has burnt down. The time when such weapons could have made a major impact is long past. Some months ago for instance, Ukraine came this close to winning a major victory south of the Seym river, but just couldn't pull it off. The Russians reinforced and resupplied too quickly. ATACMS, disrupting Russian logistics, might have made a difference. They might not have, but we'll never know now: the moment has passed. 

A great many moments have passed. The West has a gift for providing too little too late. ATACMS didn't even arrive in Ukraine until long after Russia had consolidated its positions. HIMARS, Abrams tanks, and F-16 jets all arrived only after much hand-wringing and delay, during which time, more and more of Ukraine was chewed off by the bear. 

Analogies abound. 

Give 'em the helmet after the head injury.

Give 'em the coat after the hypothermia. 

Plug up the boat after it sinks. 

Lock the door after the thief gets in. 

There comes a point when late becomes so late, it may as well be never.  We're fast approaching that point now. The longer it takes for Western weapons to arrive, the fewer Ukrainians will there will be to use them, and the less there will be of Ukraine to protect. 

It didn't have to be this way.  

Remember the Fallen.

 Not being in the mood this year to stand in the rain with about marching cadets, and be lectured by some blowhard about how indispensable the Battle of Vimmy Ridge was to my current freedom to scarf down two hundred flavours of potato chip, I stayed in a did my own Remembrance Day reflections this year. 

It occurred to me that there are Canadians fighting for freedom right NOW, as we speak, or binge on Amazon Prime as it may be, battling the Russians in Ukraine. At least 12 have died.  

They are: 

Jean Francois Ratelle

Alain Derasp

Malick Joseph

Cole Zelenco

Kyle Porter

Joseph Hildebrand

Emile Antoine Sirois

Grigorii Tsekhmistrenko

Anthony "Tonko" Ihnat

Joshua Mark Mayers

Austin Lathlin-Bercier

Brad Stratford

https://montrealgazette.com/news/local-news/these-canadians-made-the-ultimate-sacrifice-in-ukraine-in-relative-anonymity

They weren't forced to go over by any government draft. They were under no pressure from their society. They went entirely as a matter of principle, feeling deep down this was a cause worth fighting. They went willingly, knowing the risks. Knowing they'd be without the backing of their state, without all the air support and technological superiority that entails. Or even the acknowledgement they've done it. 

There days, there aren't many willing to put their lives on the line for matters of principle. Nowadays, it seems most folk wouldn't even pay ten cents extra on their gas-bill to help Ukraine, let alone fight for it. Those who do, and did - who are actually doing what we claim to be honouring - deserve to be remembered. 

On this of all days. 

They were staunch to the end against odds uncounted;

They fell with their faces to the foe.

In Which the Author Succumbs to Majority Rule

 So... 

The man of the spray on tangerine tan has won. Unambiguously. By a large margin. I think he even broke his own record. Sure they'll say it was close, but not close enough to leave any doubt, not close enough that a recount would make a difference, not close enough to blame on voter suppression or hoax-bomb threats. The people have spoken, and the MAGA king is back. 

I have had a funny feeling he would be. I've had funny feelings about the last five Presidential elections in a row, and have been right each time. Difficult to say when I first felt it: possibly when I was in NYC over the summer, and noticed how much Trump shirts outnumbered Harris shirts in the tourist kiosks. 

Is that an infallible indicator? No, but those proprietors aren't dumb: they don't display what don't sell. The hysterical optimism of the Kamellan Twittersphere notwithstanding, someone was buying those shirts. 

I'm not interested in forensic analysis of the Harris campaign - I don't care what she did wrong. Whether she should have leaned more left or leaned more right, spoken up about this or shut up about that. Whether so-and-so's endorsement was worth anything, or whether they shoulda just stuck with Joe. None of it matters. It's too easy to look back in hindsight at what one should have done - coulda-woulda-shoulda. I often wish there were parallel universes to peak into and see where different may have lead, but as for the army of "told you so!" types who insist things would have gone differently if they were in charge, or their advice had been followed. . .I'm not in the mood.   

Nor do I really care to psycho-analyze Trump voters, and peruse whatever deep-down bum-hurt big Daddy Trump will supposedly soothe. "He speaks to what concerns Americans!" goes the call. Maybe he does. That's not reassuring. 

All I know is that millions of people took a look at this guy - convicted criminal, sex pest, Kremlin call boy, Epstein's Pal, fraudulent, inarticulate, unprincipled, opportunistic, cynical, serial liar - and said: 

"I want that!" 

Millions of people made common cause with Vladimir Putin, Kim Jong Un, Bibi Netanyahu, Victor Orban, Rupert Murdoch, Elon Musk, Andrew Tate, countless neo nazis, religious extremists,  and sex-predators. The majority of the voting public were undisturbed by his threats to political opponents and attacks on democratic institutions. Jan 6 wasn't an issue. Climate change not mentioned. Gaza not an issue. And the sooner Ukraine is abandoned, the better. 

What can I say? It's what the people want. 

I wonder if we'll have to renegotiate NAFTA again? 

Meanwhile, Volodymr Zelensky, a real statesman, swallowed his pride and offered his congratulations. 

I am reminded of what Churchill might have tried to say to Wendel Wilkie if he had won his election. Who knows? Perhaps Trump can be convinced of the necessity of helping Ukraine - he is susceptible to flattery, if nothing else. I wouldn't count on it: not with all that cabal of cowardly Russophiles he's surrounded himself with. But we'll see. . . 

I think I'll take a break from all this. I will certainly stay off Twitter. My next post will be about something harmless. Maybe a tirade against Halloween Spirit stores. . .  

 

 It is difficult to maintain any faith in humanity these days, as it so continuously, consistently and reliably chooses the path of inhumanity. 

It's exhausting to even think about, let alone write down, the litany of evils plaguing our world, and somehow even worse to contemplate the cowardice and complacency that enables it. 

The West has largely turned its back on Ukraine; sure, Australia's providing tanks, but this is an exception. US aid continues to trickle through, but with so many restrictions and conditions attached, as to be pretty much useless. "Don't actually use these" and "don't hurt any Russians" are what it amounts to. Even that will cease under Donald Trump and his handlers, who are openly siding with Russia, and will do all they can to abet and enable its plans. 

Orban's Hungary continues to block large aid packages from the EU. Olaf Scoltz continues to dither. 

Russia's allies suffer no such indecision. Iranian drones and North Korean munitions continue to flow freely, no strings attached. North Korea have even sent personnel. No paralyzing terrors of escalation there. 

Back home, the Prime Minister has announced evidence of blatant Russian interference, (paying off Jordan Peterson amongst others) and the anti-Trudeau hordes, so completely tunnel-visioned by their pet issue, can't think beyond seething, drooling rage at the messenger. They'll probably embrace Russia in response. If Justin Trudeau said water was wet, his opponents would scream that it wasn't. 

Further south, while Joe Biden has to fight tooth and nail to send Ukraine sock-full of grape shot, there's no problem at all getting billions in aid to Israel. And unlike Ukraine, which receives weapon under the condition they never actually use, there are no restrictions whatever on what Israel does with its gifts. No-strings attached, carte-blanche, do as thou wilt. Israel can hit anyone it likes, and anyone it doesn't.  It even struck Russia's Khmeimim airbase in Syria, and the world did not descend into WWIII. 

Every day brings bad news, and worse news. Even no news is bad news; silence makes one fear the worst. 

So what is one to do? "Keep Calm and Carry On" I suppose. There's not much alternative. 

  

Paul Di'Anno 1958-2024

 If I may step away from politics Just. For. A. Minute. I'm quite saddened to hear of the passing of Paul Di'Anno. 

A good singer, a good frontman, an important architect in the formation of Metal As-We-Know-It. 

His albums with Maiden are probably my favourite of the ouvre - sharp and edgy in a way they just wouldn't continue to be under Bruce Dickinson (awesome as he was and is). I think I was given a vinyl copy of "Maiden Japan" as a Christmas gift one year, and to this day the opening drum beats of "Running Free" will be every bit as seasonal as anything by Burl Ives or Bing Crosby; my own personal jingling bells. 

I got my picture taken with him after a gig in Toronto sometime in the early 2000s. I hope it still exists: a lot of my pics were lost in a flood some ten years back. 

(Funny story, his backing band at the time were a local band I would later audition to join. Alas, I didn't cut it. Wonder who they eventually did choose. . .) 
There exists somewhere a picture of me 

Russians at War

 Big kerfufle at the Toronto International Film Festival (TIFF) of late over the screening of Muscovite Pity Party Russians at War. 

Under pressure from the local Ukrainain community, the Festival has suspended screenings, not out of any acknowledgement of the community's concerns, but over "security concerns" - concerns which, for the record, the Toronto Police did not share, and made no recommendations about one way or the other. 

Cue the tiresome hand-wringing from the local artsy-fartsies abut the power of the film's pacifist message. Propaganda? Oh no ma'am. Just humanizing the rape of pillage of a country. 

I would have a lot more sympathy for the argument from artistic expression if the director, Anastasia Trofimova, had not been a Russian national previously employed by Russia Today (RT). Or, if this had not been during a time of war in which real lives were at stake. 

So what's the difference between Russians at War and Twenty Days in Mariupol, which gave the Ukrainian side (and won a pile of Oscars in the process)? This: Mariupol is about people defending their country from brutal invaders.   Russians at War is about the invaders. This is not different sides of the same issue: they are not equally entitled to my sympathy. 

Make no mistake: those allegedly poor Russians are there to kill Ukrainians.  Unless they mutiny and defect, they will probably obey their orders and kill more. 

A message of pacifism will make no headway in Moscow. It could make quite a bit in democratic countries. Loosey-goosey both-siderism could easily take hold in the more squeamish elements of democratic society and push ballot-box pressure to end military aid, or force Ukraine into futile "negotiations" - the appeaser's favourite euphemism for "surrender". 

The Kremlin is quite happy to push this kind of psychological opiate, especially when they're this close to getting their operatives back into the White House - Trump and Vance have both stated their plan for Ukraine is give Russia everything it wants, and I do mean everything. Russia at War is just what the Russophile Trumpists need. 

Anti-war my ass. 

At least Modi didn't get his Majority. He'll have to form a coalition government, and won't be able to rewrite the constitution. That is an EXTREMELY good thing.

A democratic India is a very good thing to have in the world. Whereas and autocratic one, aligned with Russia and China, would be a very scary thing indeed.
Take what releif may come.